Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004041 0.004245 0.004454 0.004684 0.004932 0.005190 0.005480
2025-10-19 0.003670 0.003968 0.004287 0.004654 0.005068 0.005520 0.006054
2025-10-26 0.003435 0.003787 0.004173 0.004631 0.005163 0.005766 0.006505
2025-11-02 0.003249 0.003636 0.004070 0.004598 0.005226 0.005957 0.006884
2025-11-09 0.003161 0.003585 0.004071 0.004675 0.005411 0.006292 0.007442
2025-11-16 0.003025 0.003470 0.003986 0.004638 0.005451 0.006445 0.007776
2025-11-23 0.002922 0.003385 0.003931 0.004631 0.005520 0.006631 0.008156
2025-11-30 0.002801 0.003272 0.003834 0.004565 0.005508 0.006708 0.008391
2025-12-07 0.002697 0.003175 0.003751 0.004511 0.005505 0.006793 0.008637
2025-12-14 0.002624 0.003112 0.003707 0.004503 0.005560 0.006952 0.008989
2025-12-21 0.002501 0.002982 0.003574 0.004372 0.005445 0.006875 0.009001
2025-12-28 0.002450 0.002941 0.003551 0.004384 0.005519 0.007059 0.009394
2026-01-04 0.002415 0.002921 0.003556 0.004433 0.005647 0.007323 0.009924
2026-01-11 0.002351 0.002860 0.003505 0.004405 0.005666 0.007434 0.010230
2026-01-18 0.002294 0.002806 0.003461 0.004383 0.005692 0.007554 0.010555
2026-01-25 0.002236 0.002750 0.003411 0.004352 0.005702 0.007650 0.010845
2026-02-01 0.002221 0.002749 0.003435 0.004423 0.005862 0.007974 0.011521
2026-02-08 0.002168 0.002695 0.003387 0.004390 0.005865 0.008061 0.011813
2026-02-15 0.002127 0.002658 0.003358 0.004383 0.005908 0.008209 0.012213
2026-02-22 0.002069 0.002595 0.003293 0.004322 0.005865 0.008220 0.012378
2026-03-01 0.002018 0.002540 0.003237 0.004272 0.005837 0.008252 0.012580
2026-03-08 0.001983 0.002507 0.003211 0.004264 0.005874 0.008389 0.012976
2026-03-15 0.001912 0.002423 0.003110 0.004143 0.005730 0.008226 0.012818